Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 70.470009 79.407836 88.582693 98.673447 109.429082 120.521441 132.796536
2025-02-16 56.138845 68.839036 82.503058 98.168156 115.507076 133.997333 155.093485
2025-02-23 48.167949 62.973962 79.464612 98.928684 121.024629 145.102394 173.101847
2025-03-02 41.615105 57.766912 76.334172 98.816562 124.893397 153.820517 187.979629
2025-03-09 36.767662 53.951182 74.278395 99.448327 129.180645 162.654851 202.680583
2025-03-16 31.846420 49.521193 71.051163 98.306680 131.074534 168.485423 213.739849
2025-03-23 28.911911 47.287111 70.236653 99.825692 135.908599 177.563245 228.409518
2025-03-30 26.504193 45.496540 69.780355 101.617930 140.940893 186.781827 243.181464
2025-04-06 23.372354 42.441549 67.485327 100.934387 142.824206 192.171258 253.393644
2025-04-13 19.990385 38.721145 64.070833 98.619182 142.528609 194.824843 260.268797
2025-04-20 19.065115 38.450424 65.173822 102.036425 149.294349 205.936922 277.171599
2025-04-27 17.773405 37.514094 65.289177 104.107968 154.337210 214.947639 291.570454
2025-05-04 15.512570 34.921672 63.015446 102.981795 155.337188 219.074042 300.197461
2025-05-11 13.510808 32.539092 60.891138 101.940288 156.362758 223.180455 308.774914
2025-05-18 12.249385 31.241570 60.228150 102.796029 159.771579 230.190743 320.851797
2025-05-25 10.854336 29.567017 58.907711 102.669773 161.846597 235.506234 330.842400
2025-06-01 9.784986 28.351502 58.190996 103.318000 164.892045 242.008906 342.276471
2025-06-08 8.409753 26.404567 56.244501 102.149405 165.471761 245.365928 349.810569
2025-06-15 7.743833 25.741847 56.240996 103.703946 169.652004 253.264437 362.958952
2025-06-22 7.188119 25.236358 56.448385 105.537781 174.196351 261.627485 376.697891
2025-06-29 6.209662 23.723123 54.951873 104.838407 175.281611 265.552255 384.902111
2025-07-06 5.059752 21.638131 52.387238 102.469259 174.019398 266.409536 389.230788
2025-07-13 4.942654 21.911126 53.770404 105.965950 180.796223 277.640169 406.589615